Tuesday, March 15, 2011

A classic black swan

On March 19, the moon will swing around Earth more closely than it has in the past 18 years....
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/41997880/ns/technology_and_science-space/

I don't know if that caused the earthquake and tsunami in Japan. Here's another point-of-view article.
But my point is that no one was hedging their bets on this one. I was thinking the problems would come from China, the Middle East or Europe. Not Japan. And that is the classic definition of a black swan. No one predicted this disaster.

No comments:

Post a Comment